2024-12-14 11:57:43
Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.Brazilian President's Office: Brazilian President Lula recovered well after surgery, and his speech and diet were normal.Official of the National Development and Reform Commission: More active and promising, and the Central Economic Work Conference highlights the large space for follow-up policies. Liu Jianxing, deputy director of the Institute of Market and Price of the National Development and Reform Commission, believes that expanding domestic demand in an all-round way is an effective way to cope with external shocks and stabilize economic operation, and it is also a long-term strategy to enhance development initiative. In the current situation of increasing export uncertainty, expanding domestic demand in an all-round way plays a vital role in stabilizing economic growth, promoting economic restructuring and transformation and upgrading. (Xinhua Finance)
The import price of the United States rose for the second consecutive month. Due to the rising fuel cost, the import price of the United States unexpectedly rose in November, rising for the second consecutive month, and geopolitical tensions pushed up the fuel price. According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Friday, US import prices rose by 0.1% month-on-month in November, which was the same as that of last month. Economists had expected a drop of 0.2%. The US Department of Labor said that the main reason for the increase in import prices in the United States last month was the increase in fuel prices. Due to the increasing tension in the Middle East, the price of imported oil rose by 0.4% in November, after a cumulative decline of 12% from July to October. The data shows that non-oil prices rose by 0.2%.The average auction yield of 25-day cash management bills in Canada is 3.276%.Countering the price limit of Western countries, Putin extended the oil supply ban. On the 13th, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a presidential decree, announcing the extension of the counter-measures to set price ceilings for Russian oil and oil products until June 30, 2025. Putin signed a presidential decree on December 27, 2022, demanding that the supply of Russian petroleum and petroleum products to foreign legal persons and individuals who directly or indirectly use the price ceiling mechanism in their contracts be prohibited. This presidential decree came into effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity period was extended several times. In early December, 2022, EU member states reached an agreement on setting a price ceiling of $60 per barrel for Russian seaborne oil exports. The Group of Seven and Australia announced that they would implement the same price limit policy as the EU. (Xinhua News Agency)
Spot palladium fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $957.09 per ounce.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14